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NFA's Market Environment Index

Is now a good time to be in stocks? With the No-Load Fund Advisors exclusive Market Environment Index, you will know.  The index is a non-price timing statistics barometer -- including interest rates, relative strength between markets, investor sentiment, new issue highs and new lows as well as other components used to measure strength and risk of the market environment.

This index works as an early warning system and the moving average will typically give a three to four day advance notice of trend change. Conservative investors should always wait for price confirmation of trend change before committing dollars as the timing environment can stay positive or negative for months in opposition to a major trend change.  Remember irrational exuberance?  This index is designed to give a feel of the overall environment for stock growth.

Basic Parameters

Positive Environment Greater than 0
Neutral Between 0 and -2
Negative Environment Less than -2

Current Assessment:

Short Term: Positive

Intermediate Term: Positive

Click for Chart & Trades

Date Total Sma
1/23/2008 2 2.71
1/22/2008 2 2.57
1/18/2008 2 2.43
1/17/2008 2 2.29
1/16/2008 4 2.14
1/15/2008 4 1.71
1/14/2008 3 1.29
1/11/2008 1 1.29
1/10/2008 1 1.57
1/9/2008 1 1.86
1/8/2008 1 1.86
1/7/2008 1 1.71
1/4/2008 1 1.71
1/3/2008 3 1.71
1/2/2008 3 1.14
1/2/2008    
12/31/2007 3 0
12/28/2007 1 -1.14
12/28/2007    
12/27/2007 0 -2
12/26/2007 1 -2.71
12/24/2007 1 -3.29
12/21/2007 -1 -3.86


 

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